Tactical buying visible in IT, selective opportunities emerging in auto ancillaries: Neeraj Dewan

India’s equity markets continue to witness a tug-of-war between optimism in the broader market and caution around inflationary pressures, elevated crude prices, and uncertain global developments. While frontline indices remain largely range-bound, selective buying in midcaps and smallcaps has resurfaced as investors respond positively to quarterly earnings announcements.

Market expert Neeraj Dewan believes the broader market has started showing resilience again after a brief phase of profit booking earlier in May.

“There was this smallcap, midcap that has done very well in April. Then beginning of May we saw some profit booking but again buying is coming back once the results are getting declared. So, the market may remain range bound till you get absolute clarity. A lot of stocks which are dependent on crude will stay subdued. They will still stay in a range or may correct a bit, but broader market has started participating, that is something which is a welcome thing in the market,” said Dewan in an interaction with ET Now.

Margin Pressure Persists For QSR Players

Among individual stocks, investors closely tracked the earnings performance of Jubilant FoodWorks after the company reported disappointing overall numbers despite margin performance beating estimates.

According to Dewan, disruptions in the food business likely impacted the quarter, even as margins held up relatively well. He noted that elevated crude and raw material costs remain a key concern for food companies, particularly in a highly competitive quick-service restaurant environment.

“Yes, this quarter there were disruptions for the food business, so I think that would have come into the numbers. Because margins are still intact and margins as per what people were expecting, so I feel that if things were to improve as far as crude prices are concerned, as far as raw material prices are concerned, then things may look better,” he said.He added that while seasonal demand during the holiday period may support revenue recovery, inflation continues to threaten profitability across the sector.

Competition has also intensified significantly in the QSR space, limiting the ability of companies to pass higher input costs on to consumers.

“Yes, QSR because there is a lot of competition now. So, earlier there was less competition, so they were able to pass on the price increases easily. But for someone like a Jubilant Food or even McDonald’s now there is competition from local domestic players whether pizzas, burgers you get so many options now. So, it is not so easy to pass on,” Dewan noted.

He cautioned that sustained inflation could continue to weigh on margins and suggested investors remain in a wait-and-watch mode until there is greater visibility on inflation trends and sales momentum.

Auto Ancillaries See Selective Value Buying

The auto ancillary space, which had remained under pressure due to rising crude-linked input costs, is now witnessing selective buying interest.

Dewan highlighted that tyre companies and several ancillary stocks have not reacted strongly despite posting healthy earnings, mainly because of concerns around elevated crude prices. However, he believes a meaningful correction in crude oil prices could trigger sharp buying and short-covering in these counters.

“Yes, I think there was some pressure in the auto ancillaries earlier but slowly some value buying is emerging there. Even if you look at tyre stocks, there is pressure there because crude prices are high and there is a lot of dependence on crude for tyre companies,” he said.

He added that any easing in geopolitical tensions, particularly involving the US and Iran, could significantly improve sentiment for these stocks.

IT Rally Seen More As Tactical Play

On the information technology sector, Dewan described the recent move in IT stocks as largely tactical rather than conviction-driven.

Despite some bargain hunting after steep corrections, he believes weak earnings guidance from major IT companies continues to cap enthusiasm in the sector.

“It is a value buying which is happening. It is more like a tactical play because the kind of guidance that they have given is also so low that you do not expect too much to happen as far as earnings is concerned for them this year also,” he said.

He pointed out that companies with stronger enterprise solutions and differentiated products could outperform peers, though broad-based confidence in the sector remains limited.

Long-Term EV Ecosystem Story Still Intact

Dewan also shared a constructive outlook on the electric vehicle ecosystem, particularly companies investing heavily in energy storage and battery infrastructure.

While he remained cautious on Ola Electric, he expressed optimism about players such as JSW Energy and Adani Green Energy, citing their large-scale investments in battery storage and clean energy solutions.

“The EV based capex has been coming but because it is huge capex that is required for some of these companies, so it is taking time for the execution to happen,” Dewan said.

He believes these companies could benefit meaningfully over the next two to three years as capacities ramp up and economies of scale begin to improve profitability.

Cautious Optimism On Two-Wheelers

Within the automobile space, Dewan maintained a positive long-term view on two-wheelers but advised investors to remain selective in the near term amid inflation concerns and macro uncertainty.

Among key players, he favours TVS Motor Company due to its strong execution and consistent earnings performance over recent quarters.

“I like TVS because they have done very well as far execution is concerned and last so many quarters now they have been showing good results also,” he said.

However, he recommended gradual accumulation rather than aggressive buying, citing concerns around inflation, monsoon progress, and crude price volatility.

ITC, Hospitals In Focus During Earnings Season

In the FMCG space, investors are awaiting earnings from ITC Limited amid concerns over duty hikes and their potential impact on cigarette volumes.

Dewan believes ITC could still deliver healthy volume growth alongside stable FMCG margins, especially after encouraging numbers from peers such as Godfrey Phillips India, Tata Consumer Products and Hindustan Unilever.

Healthcare stocks also continue to remain strong despite elevated valuations. Dewan expects Max Healthcare Institute to report robust numbers in line with the performance of Apollo Hospitals Enterprise.

“Actually, all these hospital stocks though we have been for the last six months, one year that they are expensive but the numbers have been always quite positive and they have been able to declare better numbers and that is why the stocks have also been performing,” he said.

As earnings season progresses, investors are likely to remain focused on management commentary around inflation, input costs, demand recovery, and margin sustainability across sectors.