Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Monday

On Thursday, the Indian benchmark indices closed lower, erasing early gains from optimism over softer U.S. and local inflation data, as trade war concerns intensified with US President Trump threatening more tariffs on Europe and Canada following their retaliatory measures, while heavyweight Reliance Industries and HDFC Bank dragged the benchmarks the most.

The benchmark BSE Sensex lost 200.85 points or 0.27% to close at 73,828.91, while the broader Nifty 50 index closed at 22,397.20, lower by 73.30 points or 0.33%.

Here’s how analysts read the market pulse:

Shortened trading week and sell-off in the US short market are providing a hiccup to the global market, said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services, adding that “however, India is withstanding with resilience and healthy outperformance, by a narrow negative trend.””Even concerns that the U.S. may have to bear a recession are not impacting the Indian market due to signs of recovery in fundamentals led by moderation in inflation, future rate cuts, and improvement in the economy in FY26 led by government spending and improvement in consumer income. However, if US policy continues to be tepid, it will become a point of concern,” Nair said.

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US markets

US stocks rebounded on Friday as investors seized buying opportunities following a volatile week marked by escalating trade tensions from President Donald Trump, which had stoked recession fears and dampened risk appetite.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 674.62 points, or 1.65%, to close at 41,488.19. The S&P 500 gained 117.42 points, or 2.13%, finishing at 5,638.94, while the Nasdaq Composite surged 451.07 points, or 2.61%, to 17,754.09.

European Markets

European shares edged higher on Friday but remained on course for their steepest weekly decline in three months, as intensifying global trade tensions fueled concerns over an economic slowdown.

As of 0950 GMT, the pan-European STOXX 600 had risen 0.4% but was still down roughly 2% for the week.

Tech View

The Nifty has been forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the hourly chart, which is a continuation pattern, said Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities.

“For the past three days, Nifty has largely remained within the range of 22,350–22,550. A decisive move above 22,550 could trigger a meaningful rally in the short term. Conversely, a decisive fall below 22,350 could weaken sentiment in the short term,” De said.

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Most active stocks in terms of turnover

Data Patterns (India) (Rs 2,178 crore), IndusInd Bank (Rs 2,159 crore), BSE (Rs 1,499 crore), Bharti Airtel (Rs 1,364 crore), HDFC Bank (Rs 1,346 crore), Zomato (Rs 1,240 crore) and Infosys (Rs 1,238 crore) were among the most active stocks on NSE in value terms. Higher activity in a counter in value terms can help identify the counters with highest trading turnovers in the day.

Most active stocks in volume terms

Vodafone Idea (Traded shares: 40.86 crore), YES Bank (Traded shares: 6.24 crore), Zomato (Traded shares: 6.07 crore), Tata Steel (Traded shares: 4.82 crore), Suzlon Energy (Traded shares: 4.38 crore), JP Power (Traded shares: 4.21 crore) and MRPL (Traded shares: 4 crore) were among the most actively traded stocks in volume terms on NSE.

Stocks showing buying interest

Shares of MRPL, ITI Ltd, Godfrey Philips, UNO Minda, Data Patterns (India), WABCO India and Elgi Equipments were among the stocks that witnessed strong buying interest from market participants.

52 Week high

Over 57 stocks hit their 52 week highs today while 309 stocks slipped to their 52-week lows.

Stocks seeing selling pressure

Stocks which witnessed significant selling pressure were KEC International, Policy Bazaar, Bharat Forge, Zee Entertainment, TBO Tek, Redington and Sona BLW Precision Forgings.

Sentiment meter bearish

The market sentiments were bearish. Out of the 4,105 stocks that traded on the BSE on Thursday, 2,561 stocks witnessed declines, 1,424 saw advances, while 120 stocks remained unchanged.

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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)