Lovable Lingerie’s dream run on as traders lap it up

It gained a third in about a week. But the small float and low delivery volumes is an alert against wagering on it for some who fear it may have risen beyond its fundamentals when many other newly-listed companies are trading below their sale price.

“The rally in Lovable Lingerie is more a momentum play with hardly any genuine interest,” says Sharad Rathi, associate director at Almondz Global Securities.

“The valuations seem to be a bit out of whack.” Lovable that sold shares at Rs 205 apiece, has risen 109% to Rs 428.5 on Friday after touching a high of Rs 462.50. Some of the top shareholders include HDFC Mutual Fund, SBI Funds, UTI Asset management and Fidelity, filings show.

Total outstanding shares of the firm is at 1.68 crore and public holding is about 50 lakh shares. The Sensex was down 2.6% during the period and the BSE IPO index was up 1.6%. Fineotex Chemical and C Mahendra Exports are the two companies that have returned more than Lovable, among this years’ IPOs. The stock trades at 31 times forecast earnings for fiscal 2012, compared with Page Industries’ 27 times its earnings. Although the stock had been among the top traded in the last few days, gaining to limit on some days, the number of shares that changed had remained negligible. The quantity of shares actually changing hands — was in single digit for many days. The delivery ratio was 2% to 9% between June 10 and 17 when the stock moved up 33% on BSE, exchange data show. This follows the performance of Page Industries which has gained 396% since its IPO in March 2007. Shares that were sold at Rs 396 apiece are trading at Rs 1,784. “Rising disposable incomes and growing awareness about personal hygiene are boosting growth of the innerwear market in India,” said Anand Rathi Secutities in a recent report. “Also enhancing this growth is the rising modern trade malls, shopping complexes etc,” said the brokerage which has a target price of Rs 430.

The Mumbai-based company’s Rs 93-crore IPO drew good response with it getting subscribed 21.8 times the institutional portion, 98.5 times among wealthy individuals and 20.5 times in the retail category. Rise in raw material prices and intensifying competition are the two risks for earnings growth, the report said.