Tata Power & JSW Energy: Why these stocks offer strong upside potential of upto 28% each

With increasing electricity demand due to rapid urbanization, industrial expansion, and government-led electrification initiatives, the sector is set for significant long-term growth.

Policy support has been instrumental in shaping this transition, with ambitious renewable energy targets, production-linked incentives, and grid development projects paving the way for a more sustainable and resilient power ecosystem.

The push towards clean energy has accelerated investments in solar, wind, and hybrid power projects, while technological advancements in energy storage and smart grids are improving overall efficiency and reliability.

Despite the strong growth momentum, the sector faces notable challenges. Regulatory uncertainties, delays in project execution, and financing constraints continue to pose risks.

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The shift towards renewables, though promising, requires substantial capital investment and long-term policy stability to ensure seamless execution.Moreover, while coal-based power still accounts for a major share of electricity generation, fluctuating coal prices and supply chain disruptions add further complexities to the sector’s cost dynamics.With an increasing focus on reducing carbon emissions, the need for sustainable solutions is more pressing than ever, pushing utilities companies to strike a balance between profitability and compliance with evolving environmental norms.

The outlook for the utilities sector remains promising, particularly in segments such as renewable energy and grid infrastructure development. The transition to green energy is expected to accelerate further as companies ramp up capacity and governments introduce favourable policies to attract investments.

Additionally, advancements in digital technologies, AI-driven grid management, and smart metering solutions are enhancing operational efficiencies and reducing power losses, contributing to improved profitability over time.

While regulatory and execution risks remain, companies that can effectively navigate these challenges and capitalize on sectoral tailwinds are likely to emerge as long-term beneficiaries.

From an investment perspective, the sector offers attractive opportunities given the steady nature of cash flows and the long-term structural growth drivers in place.

However, the key to sustainable value creation lies in identifying areas with strong policy support, stable revenue models, and efficient execution capabilities.

As India moves towards a cleaner and more efficient power ecosystem, the utilities sector is poised to play a crucial role in shaping the country’s energy future, offering a mix of stability and growth potential for long-term investors.

Tata Power: Buy| Target Rs 490| LTP Rs 383| Upside 28%

Tata Power’s renewable energy segment remains a key growth driver, supported by policy tailwinds and integrated manufacturing. However, the pace of capacity additions has been slower than expected, impacting near-term earnings visibility.

The company plans to commission 2-2.5GW annually in FY26-27, supported by 2GW operational cell lines. While its push into DISCOM privatization and nuclear energy could unlock long-term value, execution risks persist.

Soft near-term earnings due to delays in renewable commissioning keep the focus on execution, but the diversified business model and sectoral growth drivers support a buy rating.

JSW Energy: Buy| Target Rs 705| LTP Rs 548| Upside 28%

The KSK Mahanadi acquisition strengthens JSWE’s portfolio with 1.8GW operational and 1.8GW expansion potential, with an estimated NPV of INR 27/share.

While leverage is expected to peak at 5.6x in FY26, synergies from improved PLF, tariff optimization, and secure coal supply support earnings visibility. Strong power demand and potential PPA renewals enhance the long-term outlook.

With planned brownfield expansion by FY29 and an increasing shift toward renewables, JSWE remains well-positioned to benefit from sectoral tailwinds, keeping the outlook positive.

(The author is Head – Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.)

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)